Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 4.705058 5.198136 5.723987 6.327097 7.000414 7.729786 8.580790
2026-01-04 3.967244 4.643916 5.412207 6.351455 7.471935 8.769708 10.392405
2026-01-11 3.377713 4.158474 5.095007 6.306608 7.840476 9.728031 12.242706
2026-01-18 2.890379 3.722040 4.769875 6.196585 8.103319 10.584322 14.090601
2026-01-25 2.499045 3.350680 4.472321 6.072281 8.319572 11.398724 15.997443
2026-02-01 2.185545 3.039352 4.210058 5.952704 8.515340 12.199418 17.994566
2026-02-08 1.930018 2.774680 3.976214 5.836241 8.690254 12.981449 20.069608
2026-02-15 1.735782 2.573416 3.806360 5.786293 8.948369 13.909405 22.496131
2026-02-22 1.612249 2.461598 3.753406 5.902575 9.470986 15.307338 25.885479
2026-03-01 1.471427 2.306810 3.615484 5.863777 9.731679 16.304455 28.736945
2026-03-08 1.322883 2.123752 3.412167 5.690924 9.739923 16.865484 30.884598
2026-03-15 1.217870 2.000615 3.292799 5.643948 9.956012 17.810991 33.881143
2026-03-22 1.153755 1.941371 3.277251 5.781601 10.531324 19.507540 38.657942
2026-03-29 1.091247 1.878581 3.248849 5.892209 11.070123 21.210185 43.746789
2026-04-05 1.021342 1.795828 3.176406 5.911750 11.434731 22.620098 48.465314
2026-04-12 0.947536 1.698971 3.068532 5.850402 11.628908 23.707543 52.663264
2026-04-19 0.877848 1.603282 2.953449 5.761355 11.753561 24.663398 56.728250
2026-04-26 0.814589 1.514038 2.842096 5.667042 11.854072 25.578541 60.860856
2026-05-03 0.757119 1.430902 2.734850 5.569137 11.933566 26.455725 65.060000
2026-05-10 0.711341 1.366764 2.659378 5.530135 12.139281 27.653142 70.311629
2026-05-17 0.685146 1.339473 2.655866 5.646700 12.717075 29.822736 78.595940
2026-05-24 0.646719 1.283917 2.588680 5.613748 12.936375 31.139679 84.772118
2026-05-31 0.599944 1.207252 2.470307 5.451584 12.821399 31.590345 88.537075